virus denial wasn't an industry before this hit. But the reactions to this, to the whole handling — the coronavirus has been like global warming, but at about a hundred times speed. Right? The same thing. "The scientists are in a conspiracy against President Trump and trying to bring socialism with false warnings." All of that is what sort of laid the groundwork. You basically carried over the whole set of attitudes that came from climate denial, which is one of the most important zombies out there, straight into the coronavirus until like two days ago.

We've been far behind the curve. It was already obvious in January that this was extremely high risk and we should have been doing massive ramping up of testing. We should've been doing social distancing. We should've been doing all these things that help to contain it. We really didn't get serious or Washington didn't get serious, again, until just a few days ago about any of this.

Even now, we're not doing what you always do when you have an emergency, which is you federalize the production of essential equipment. We still haven't done that. We still have this wild uncoordinated scrambled for ventilators and all of that.

The denial, virus denial, which is basically the same as climate denial, has been critical. I mean tens of thousands of people will die unnecessarily in this country because of it.

[SOURCE: Sara Silverstein | Business Insider | 1 April 2020]

Wash your hands. Wash your hands. Wash your hands.

Here are the Top 10 questions I've gotten for this novel coronavirus in the last few weeks! VIDEO RECORDED ON 3/31/2020

1. Pets Transmit The Virus? 0:11

2. Wash Produce w/ Soap? 0:47

3. Quarantine Party? 1:17

4. Can I Protect Myself w/ Supplements? 1:52

5. How Can I Optimize My Immune System? 2:36

6. Is this virus Airborne? 3:35

7. How to Lower Anxiety/Depressive Symptoms? 4:45

8. Is Ibuprofen Safe To Take? 5:32

9. Should We ALL Wear Masks? 6:10

10. Is Food Delivery Safe? 7:14

Oh by the way ...

Wash your hands. Wash your hands. Wash your hands.

Hi. In today's episode of Some More News, we explore the very unsurprising response of the grotesquely rich to the Coronavirus crisis that threatens their ability to be insulated from the poor and working-class that they exploit and take for granted.

Click here for a great translation site called reverso.net. I used it to look up the French word "partout" which I thought meant "everywhere" but since the word was in different context, I used reverso.

It's a great site because it provides multiple examples of the words in different contexts, and example sentences provided by native speakers so you can get a better idea about the nuances that exist in any language, as well as contemporary context. It also gives you an audio of a native speaker speaking the word. Hella cool.

I use this site when I read the French newspaper Le Monde.

It's a good idea to pay attention to the rest of the world, because we are very insulated (if not isolated) by the syndication of the American media. Sinclair news in particular has been buying up local media stations (especially in the South and mid-west) in order to squeeze the dissemination of news into propaganda. They want to keep you stupid and distracted by culture wars so they can hijack the truth and seed the government with apparachiks for the un-enlightened billionaires that fund their mouth-pieces. Thankfully there does exist enlightened billionaires as a counter-force, but let's look at this with eyes wide open. This is a fight for our democracy and the heritage of the US Constitution.

So I read Le Monde, look at the BBC, and some reliable blogs for information on the world.

Right now for instance, in France, there is a huge debate about the use of spraying diluted ammonia all over the well traversed city streets in various towns of France, and in particular Paris. Proponents of this argument say that's what was done in China and South Korea. One of the prefects of Paris is instigating a fight with the Mayor of Paris over the matter, and the Mayor got the national institute of Health involved -- l’Agence régionale de santé (ARS) or "Regional Agency of Health". Accordingly, the director of ARS, responded in an email to the Mayor of Paris

« L’aspersion de javel ou autre désinfectant est inutile tout en étant dangereuse pour l’environnement »

-- the spraying of ammonia or other disinfectant is not effective all the while being dangerous for the environment.

Dans son courriel, l’ARS met en avant d’autres solutions, plus classiques et moins coûteuses. Elle conseille de maintenir « le nettoyage des rues, avec les matériels et les équipements de protection individuelle habituels », et « de se laver les mains dès le retour à domicile ».

-- in the email, ARS put up other solutions, more traditional and less costly. The agency advised to continue cleaning/sweeping [probably by steam] the streets wearing the protective equipement and materials worn by individuals AND to wash your hands when returning home.

[SOURCE: Denis Cosnard | Le Monde | 1 April 2020]

Jumped by 37 cases in one day. The a value is 3.41021 and the b value is 0.136989. The percentage rate is going down, but the a value is going up too.

The dashed red line is the linear rate over 5 days beginning on 27 March 2020. The rate of that line was 29.5 cases per day, so adding more than 29.5 cases a day indicates exponential growth.

I included a regression to a bell curve -- y = ae^b(x-c)^2, with parameters a,b, and c. The c value is the predicted peak, which the model says will come in 6 days. The a value is the peak, which the model says is 561 cases. The b value affects the horizontal spread of the bell curve. The model has it as -.0058. The curve widens the smaller the b value.

However, I would caution against reading too much into the bell curve regression because the number of cases is still rising exponentially. Since 26 March 2020 the rates of increase per day have been 29, 32, 34, 23, and 37 -- gradually getting bigger.

Here are the model's updated 14 and 21 day predictions:

8,930 = 434×3.41021×(1+0.136989)^14

21,935 = 434×3.41021×(1+0.136989)^21

While you are here, check out this map of the bay area (it's at the bottom of the page).

COVID-19 cases are exploding in Santa Clara county (San Jose) which will probably top 1,000 today. You really should add San Francisco and San Mateo counties together (the two counties are highly integrated -- just like Brooklyn and Queens) and so that will also probably top 1,000 before the end of this week. San Mateo county just jumped up 79 cases in one day.

This is mind-blowing.

This brings it home. CNN news host Chris Cuomo has contracted COVID-19

The number of cases according to the SF Department of Public Health increased by 23.

The a value is of the model is now 2.62915. The b value is 0.145914. Which is good news. If you click below you will see that since 27 March 2020, the slope of the trend has slowed slightly, with the curve bending to the right of the 3/29 Prediction of 500 cases. However, it's highly probable that we will have 500 cases by Thursday or Friday.

Here are the model's updated 14 and 21 day predictions:

7,026 = 397×2.62915×(1+0.145914)^14

18,230 = 397×2.62915×(1+0.145914)^21

Notice that when compared with the previous estimates these numbers are still increasing. It's looking like we might have 20,000 cases by the 21st of April. Will we get to the peak by then? Good question.

Why the death rates of Coronavirus are bigger than 1% -- which is already 10 times higher than the seasonal flu.