frankilin roosevelt

It's not about being liberal or conservative anymore y'all. That is a hype offered by the fascist whores who want to confuse the people with lies while they turn this country into an aristocratic police state. Some people will say anything to attain power and money. There is no such thing as the Liberal Media, but the Corporate media is very real.



Check out my old  Voice of the People page.


Gino Napoli
San Francisco, California
High School Math Teacher

jonsdarc@mindspring.com




Loyalty without truth
is a trail to tyranny.

a middle-aged
George Washington



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Monday, 26 November 2012 at 21h 0m 53s

It's the Low Wages, Stupid

A recent NY Times article by Adam Davidson points out that manufacturers screaming about not being able to hire enough workers with the requisite skills are really just not willing to pay enough money to attract the necessary talent.

Eric Isbister, the C.E.O. of GenMet, a metal-fabricating manufacturer outside Milwaukee, told me that he would hire as many skilled workers as show up at his door. Last year, he received 1,051 applications and found only 25 people who were qualified. He hired all of them, but soon had to fire 15. Part of Isbister’s pickiness, he says, comes from an avoidance of workers with experience in a “union-type job.” Isbister, after all, doesn’t abide by strict work rules and $30-an-hour salaries. At GenMet, the starting pay is $10 an hour. Those with an associate degree can make $15, which can rise to $18 an hour after several years of good performance. From what I understand, a new shift manager at a nearby McDonald’s can earn around $14 an hour.

The secret behind this skills gap is that it’s not a skills gap at all. I spoke to several other factory managers who also confessed that they had a hard time recruiting in-demand workers for $10-an-hour jobs. “It’s hard not to break out laughing,” says Mark Price, a labor economist at the Keystone Research Center, referring to manufacturers complaining about the shortage of skilled workers. “If there’s a skill shortage, there has to be rises in wages,” he says. “It’s basic economics.” After all, according to supply and demand, a shortage of workers with valuable skills should push wages up. Yet according to the Bureau of Labor Statistics, the number of skilled jobs has fallen and so have their wages.

In a recent study, the Boston Consulting Group noted that, outside a few small cities that rely on the oil industry, there weren’t many places where manufacturing wages were going up and employers still couldn’t find enough workers. “Trying to hire high-skilled workers at rock-bottom rates,” the Boston Group study asserted, “is not a skills gap.” The study’s conclusion, however, was scarier. Many skilled workers have simply chosen to apply their skills elsewhere rather than work for less, and few young people choose to invest in training for jobs that pay fast-food wages.


[SOURCE: Adam Davidson | New York Times | 20 November 2012]

UPDATE: 28 November 2012 ~ ~ ~ ~
This got me thinking, how much is this entrance wage of $10 an hour in an entire year? Or the top wage of $18 an hour?

Assuming a 40 hours a week (big assumption) and that 50 weeks total wages are paid, minus the various holidays, this is 2000 times 10 and 2000 times 18. $20000 a year low end and $36,000 a year high end BEFORE TAXES ARE TAKEN OUT, which is probably close to 70% left -- that's $14,000 and $25,000 a year after taxes.

1,350 to 2,083 per month. Depending on where you live, rent can start at $600 or $1200. With food costs a minimum of $10 a day, that's another $300 a month. Assuming you can afford a car, there is $100 a month insurance and gas that could be more than $100 (especially if you need the car to go to work 5 days a week). At the low end with $600 rent, that's already over $1000.

This is not a lot of money. Try paying off $50,000 in student loans, especially when the loans have 6% interest. If you own a car, there is always $1000 of expenses extra per year. Tires, Oil changes, Brakes cost money.

And if you want to raise a family, it's called POVERTY.

How outta touch are these employers? They complain that the country is lacking skills when they are paying nearly poverty wages, and don't realize that only the lower 30% is applying because the upper 70% is better educated and gets better jobs.

So you see, their paradigm is the real problem.


Monday, 26 November 2012 at 15h 24m 47s

Tom Ricks Rocks


In this Fox News interview with Washington Post journalist Tom Ricks, Tom Ricks says that Fox News was "operating as a wing of the Republican Party." Then the interview ends.

But hey, at least they let him finish his sentence. Give the network at least that much credit.


Saturday, 24 November 2012 at 15h 5m 24s

The bill to end the cap on Social Security

Senator Begich of Alaska is trying to get a Bill passed that will, among other things, increase the salary cap on social security taxes. Here's the skinny from Senator Begich's press release


  • Increases Benefits for Seniors and Persons with Disabilities. Currently, Social Security benefits are adjusted by the Consumer Price Index for workers. However, costs and spending patterns for seniors do not mirror those of the workforce. That is why Sen. Begich’s bill calls for adjusting cost-of-living increases with a Consumer Price Index specifically for the elderly which was created to more accurately measure the costs of goods and services seniors actually buy.

  • Lifts the Cap on High-Income Contributions. Current law sets a cap based on income at $113,700 for paying into Social Security. If an individual’s wages hit that total for the year, they no longer pay into the program. Sen. Begich’s bill lifts the cap and asks higher income earners to pay Social Security on all their earnings in order to increase the program’s revenue stream and extend the overall solvency of the program.

  • Extends Social Security for approximately 75 years through modest revenue increases gradually implemented over the course of seven years


Senator Begich also provides a Scribd Social Security Fact Sheet. Click here for the fact sheet.

The fight is on again. Bernie Sanders (one of the greatest Senators in the history of our nation) has already gotten 29 Senators to sign a pledge to refuse to make any cuts at all to Social Security. Every single one of them are Democrats. There is not a single Republican signature, which represents the divide between the two political parties. Republicans really don't care about Social Security. Either they are naive, or they are part of the deliberate obfuscation.

Bernie Sanders is a Senator from Vermont, who is registered Independent. He is not a Democrat, nor a Republican. Go to Bernie Sanders website often and find out about the issues and Bernie Sanders. Or click here to read an article in Politico on 19 November 2012 where Bernie Sanders makes his views known and states "We must not balance the budget on [the] poor, [and the] elderly ..."

Let's go through this again. Social security and Medicare are paid for by separate taxes, just look at your paycheck. These revenues are completely separated from the general revenues that the government raises through income, corporate, and excise taxes. Whatever issues Social Security and Medicare might have should not be commingled with the issues of the national debt and budgetary deficit. The bonds (treasury bills) that are sold to deal with the budget deficits are not at all related to the funds that go into Social Security and Medicare. Anyone who says otherwise is either ignorant or deliberately stupid.

[SOURCE: Gaius Publius | Americablog |19 November 2012 ]


Friday, 23 November 2012 at 10h 42m 33s

Really? On the Front Page.

On the Front Page of the Friday, 23 November 2012 Edition of the New York Times is the following headline: "Jeb Bush in 2016? It’s Not Too Early for Chatter."

Are you fucking kidding me? The front page is a public relations organ of the establishment, and already the establishment is promoting their favorite son. How many other person's wanting to be President get this kind of help, the day after Thanksgiving ! The election isn't even a month old.

[SOURCE: By JIM RUTENBERG and JEFF ZELENY  | New York Times | 23 November 2012]

And they call this "News" ? It's news to read what the opinions of the establishment are, and to focus on selected nuanced details of but one scion of the American Oligarchy who has huge important backers in the elite circles of finance and industry.

I'm beginning to think that the main Presidential candidates are selected, and then these two are surrounded by a bunch of lesser quantities called "hopefulls" that give the two main candidates an easy opportunity to separate themselves from the pack. And if that doesn't work out as planned (Jim Dean in 2004, Ron Paul in 2008 and 2012) then the media acolytes help them look better and drive out the "opposition" with non-sequiturs and ad-hominem attacks until they get the chosen conclusion.

Note to world: although it is true that Ron Paul enabled racism in his monthly info-zine, it is not true that the Dean "scream" presaged radicalism and extremism that was thankfully avoided by the nomination of John Kerry. Remember your history.

In the Times article, we get to hear all about good ol' Jebbie's current issues and family situation. He married a women born and raised in Mexico, so he'll be strong on the Latino vote, ya dig. And she's supposedly good on education, just like Laura Bush was supposed to be good on Reaching out to the poor and downtrodden. His Education Foundation also gets big grants from the right sort of people -- the famous foundations (but mainly the funds) of Singer, Gates, and Bloomberg See he's a real down-home family sorta guy, not just a fourth generation wall street and oil baron connected scion of billions of dollars in net worth.

Hmm, what is this "Foundation for Excellence in Education" actually do? According to the web site :


Our mission is to ignite a movement of reform, state by state, to transform education for the 21st century.

Which is a translation for spending money to pursue the Educational agenda of the persons that fund the Education foundation. And what is the sort of "Reform" the foundation desires?

Well, if you click on Reform news you can at least get an idea what types of "reform" are "news worthy". And right now there is a lot of applause for states that are releasing "the A-F school grading system." As regards Indiana,

Patricia Levesque, Executive Director of the Foundation for Excellence in Education, released the following statement regarding Indiana’s A-F school grades:

“We applaud the State of Indiana for its continued commitment to meaningful education reform. By providing a thoughtful and transparent accountability system through A-F school grades, the State has taken an important step in raising expectations while helping struggling students.


[SOURCE: Foundation For Excellence in Education | 31 October 2012]

So apparently you raise "expectations" and help "struggling students" by giving the grades A thru F to the schools. Really? Struggling students are going to do better by knowing their school got a letter grade? And expectations are raised when a school gets a letter grade, because don't you know,the fear of failing is what drives the teaching staff to teach their students?

Message to world: teachers are not motivated by the fear of failure.

This is called focusing on the wrong aspect of the problem without understanding the actual nature of the problem. If students are struggling and expectations are low or not being raised, it's not because their is a lack of school accountability. Good schools have systems in place and networks of layered assistance that provide multiple outlets for student issues. Bad schools don't, and this is almost always because of a combination of high staff turnover and low funding. A school with limited funds can manage if the longevity of the staff is not affected.

And what isn't stated is the rubric used to assess these grades? What is being measured? What are the weights given to each measurement? A good school can be made to fail if the grading rubric is structured in a way to diminish the actual strengths of the school.

Which is why so many public schools are in "program improvement" as a result of the Leave No Child Behind statutory requirements. Most schools in "program improvement" got that way because of a few percentage points, despite the reality that certain groups of students change every single year because of the reality of student mobility, and thus swing the test results every year. Some schools are more affected by student transience then others, but this isn't a problem that should cause a school to go into "program improvement". Yet that's what the real agenda was, to create a loophole through which the private charter school movement could find more gains. This was the true purpose of "Leave No Child Behind", and they got the naive to buy into the trojan horse movement by using faux-grass roots Foundations liek the Foundation for Excellence in Education as camouflage.

Then there's the "Common Core Standards" which is yet another round of setting standards that apparently is going to update our school system, better prepare students for the future, and

to deliver new online assessments and for schools to build the technology infrastructure they’ll need to use the assessments.

[SOURCE: Foundation For Excellence in Education | 18 October 2012]

So basically, this means that we'll be assessing the students and feeding data into a "technology infrastructure". The agenda items of the Common Core are as follows:

  1. Measure and report the quality of education,
  2. Hold schools accountable for learning,
  3. Incentivize student achievement,
  4. Use technology to customize learning for every student,
  5. Recruit and retain the best teachers, and
  6. Expand choices for parents and students.

Be wary of this movement. Some of these agenda items will get more stressed then others, and the rest is just window dressing used to conceal the real objectives: to privatize the school system by separating the upper level students from the rest of the pack -- sending them to "charter" schools and leaving the public school system with the students who need the most and/or the most difficult to teach. Agenda items 1, 2, 4, and 6 correlate highly with this objective.

Here's how it works. Measure the "quality" of the schools using a non-transparent and complicated rubric, then when you hold the schools "accountable" you expand the "choices" for parents and "incentivize" the upper level students by pushing them in charter schools thereby decreasing the funds from the public school system. This creates a two-tiered system, but doesn't bring anymore money or better quality, and also starts a new incentive structure because private firms have the goal of profit as their only true agenda. But since "technology" will be customized for "every student" the students who are left behind will have software packages and learning ritualization that caters to their dysfunctionalism. Teachers will then be "recruited" and those who can survive will be "retained" but notice nothing is said about "incentivizing" teaching or giving hard working teachers pay raises. Nope, only the students need to be "incentivized".

The devil lives in the details people, and all of the minions and light bulbs surrounding this mantra do not negate the reality of poison pill legislation.

Bill Clinton himself seems to take the issue seriously. Says so in the article.

Public opinion is managed. And this is how that works.


Tuesday, 20 November 2012 at 10h 33m 54s

In case you didn't understand

This is the link for the social security website actuarial tables. These are used by all insurance funds to calculate the expected disbursements of the insurance fund due to the reality that people don't all die at the same age. Not all people will live the same amount of time past 65. Some people will die younger than 65. The amount is variable, so essentially, some people add to the fund more than they ever subtract, and others might subtract more than they added, but the idea is to keep the fund in balance. This is what an actuarial table is.

[SOURCE: Social Security Administration website | ssa.gov]

Notice that at age 65, the average number of years left is 17.19 and 19.89 (for males and females.) We can assume a normal distribution, so 50% will live less and 50% more. It's not like every one is living 30 years after retirement. But you listen to the talking heads and read the pseudo-journalists and that's what is implied.

Now the distribution isn't really normal. It's actually skewed, so that means that less than 50% live longer than the average. And then we aren't taking out the rich, very healthy people who won't be retiring on social security from the actuarial data.

There is nothing wrong with social security. I repeat. There is nothing wrong with social security. There is no danger here that needs to be remedied by raising the retirement age, except that now more people will die before they get to retire.

The issue of the retirement age is a "red herring". A bunch of bullshit that the vampires use to snow the people while they bide their time inching closer to when they can finally transfer all that pile of money into their own grubby hands. That's why this shit is made confusing. They wanna do what Pinochet permitted to happen in Chile -- turn the state pension system into a private system, and suck the money out with fees and other artificial shenanigans. In Chile, pensioners lost at least 33% of their expected outcome, and a majority lost 50% or more because of the privatized system. But financiers and insiders made a whole ton of money.

What really rubs me is when they add the committments from the trust fund to the national budget. WTF. The government revenue from income and other taxes is completely separate from the taxes raised for social security and medicare/medicaid. If income and corporate taxes go up or down that will have no bearing on social security or medicare/medicaid -- because they are not funded by income and corporate taxes. It's accounting 101.

They might be borrowing against the trust fund, but this is not much different than using your house as collateral. You don't lose the house because you make the payments. And in this case, the government is making interest payments that constitute less than 0.5% per month of revenue . Imagine that for a home owner, making 0.5% per month of income towards the interest payments on their house note. A $40,000 per year worker pays a $200 interest payment (0.005 times 40000) per month. The only difference is the government is in no danger of defaulting at all, and selling bonds is not the same thing as getting a loan from a bank. When investors buy bonds, if they want their money back, they sell it to another investor.

And also 71% of the debt is owned by United States citizens in one form or another . Only 29% is foreign owned. This means that the interest payments are going to American retirement funds and American citizens. This 71 percent of the 6% (4.26%) of the revenue that goes to pay interest isn't going into an intangible hole. Thus the interest rate will not be highly influenced by foreign financial events. The Fed can just print dollar bills, and people will purchase the bonds that support the value of the printing press. That's how it works.

Now why can't the corporate press and the politico talking heads say this? Because this is what they do. The Washington Conventional wisdom is owned by the big money players, and distributed by the jackals who do their bidding. Some are swooped up into the ignorance and others are duped by a blind devotion to philosophical bias. But most are just playing the game, knowing that big money awaits if they play the game correctly.

There might be some problems, but it's not a crisis.


Monday, 19 November 2012 at 20h 10m 50s

What's the difference between 5% and 4.5% ?

Large retailers could pay full-time, year-round workers $25,000 per year and still make a profit – satisfying shareholders while rewarding their workers for the value they bring to the firm. A raise at large retailers adds $20.8 billion to payroll for the year, or less than 1 percent of total sales in the sector.

75% of large retailers are making more now then they were before the recession, but have not passed on their increased well-being to their employees.

“If retailers pass half of the costs of a wage raise on to their customers, the average household will see just 15 cents added to the cost of its shopping basket on any trip to a large retailer.”

[SOURCE: Pat Garofalo | Think Progress | 19 November 2012]


Saturday, 17 November 2012 at 12h 3m 25s

Allen West the champions of liberty and truth

Not even. Florida elections are just fucked up because of bad voting machines. This isn't necessarily evidence of corruption, and the Board decided to recount all 8 days of early voting, which is what the board should have done because the election is too close (.78 percent). This isn't deliberately removing voters from the registration roles, the voting was just so close that the innate irregularities make a difference.

But they will surely milk this for fund raising purposes.


Murphy beat West on Election Day by a little more than 2,000 votes, placing his win beyond the .5% margin of victory trigger for an automatic recount

West, however, claimed there were voter irregularities and demanded a partial recount of early-voting ballots. When the recount of the last three-days of early voting lowered Murphy’s total by 667 votes and increased West’s results by 132, the incumbent’s lawyers demanded a full recount of all eight days of early voting, the Palm Beach Post reported.

The county canvassing board admitted that 306 votes—mostly filled with write-in candidates—had been uncounted, and that other votes had been ignored.


St. Lucie county has a population of 280,000.

Keep in mind who Allen West is

West, a retired Army colonel who left the military after firing off a gun near the head of an Iraqi prisoner, was elected as part of the 2010 tea party wave. As one of the GOP’s few black elected officials on the national level — and as a bombastic and incendiary commentator — West became a frequent cable news guest. He spent $13.8 million, more than any other House member in 2012 but was also a regular star of House Democratic fundraising appeals.

[SOURCE: MSNBC |  | 17 November 2012]
[SOURCE: Kevin Robillard | Politico | 7 November 2012]


Friday, 16 November 2012 at 0h 14m 28s

The situation in Europe

Particularly unsettling yesterday were massive and widespread anti-austerity protests across Europe. The strikes and demonstrations, some involving hundreds of thousands of people, hit more than 20 countries in the EU, disrupting airports and ports, closing roads and public transportation, and shutting some essential services. The biggest protests were in Portugal, Spain, Greece, and Italy. The union-led protests--called "European Day of Action and Solidarity"--were mostly peaceful, but turned violent in Lisbon, Madrid, and Rome.

[SOURCE: Ed Yardeni | Dr. Ed's Blog | 15 November 2012]


Thursday, 15 November 2012 at 23h 24m 20s

Yep, its global climate change, stupid

Hurricane Sandy is another bird in the coal mine that just died.

Jeff Masters has a blog where he catalogs the weather events. It's called "Dr. Jeff Masters Wunderblog". It's at the Weather Underground, where all the recent weather events are discussed.


Posted by: JeffMasters, 1:10 PM GMT on November 13, 2012


Hurricane Sandy was truly astounding in its size and power. At its peak size, twenty hours before landfall, Sandy had tropical storm-force winds that covered an area nearly one-fifth the area of the contiguous United States. Since detailed records of hurricane size began in 1988, only one tropical storm (Olga of 2001) has had a larger area of tropical storm-force winds, and no hurricanes has. Sandy's area of ocean with twelve-foot seas peaked at 1.4 million square miles--nearly one-half the area of the contiguous United States, or 1% of Earth's total ocean area.

Most incredibly, ten hours before landfall (9:30 am EDT October 30), the total energy of Sandy's winds of tropical storm-force and higher peaked at 329 terajoules--the highest value for any Atlantic hurricane since at least 1969. This is 2.7 times higher than Katrina's peak energy, and is equivalent to five Hiroshima-sized atomic bombs. At landfall, Sandy's tropical storm-force winds spanned 943 miles of the the U.S. coast. No hurricane on record has been wider; the previous record holder was Hurricane Igor of 2010, which was 863 miles in diameter. Sandy's huge size prompted high wind warnings to be posted from Chicago to Eastern Maine, and from Michigan's Upper Peninsula to Florida's Lake Okeechobee--an area home to 120 million people. Sandy's winds simultaneously caused damage to buildings on the shores of Lake Michigan at Indiana Dunes National Lakeshore, and toppled power lines in Nova Scotia, Canada--locations 1200 miles apart!

...

Global warming theory (Emanuel, 2005) predicts that a 2°C (3.6°F) increase in ocean temperatures should cause an increase in the peak winds of the strongest hurricanes of about about 10%. Furthermore, warmer ocean temperatures are expected to cause hurricanes to dump 20% more rain in their cores by the year 2100, according to computer modeling studies (Knutson et al., 2010).

However, there has been no published work describing how hurricane size may change with warmer oceans in a future climate. We've seen an unusual number of Atlantic hurricanes with large size in recent years, but we currently have no theoretical or computer modeling simulations that can explain why this is so, or if we might see more storms like this in the future. However, we've seen significant and unprecedented changes to our atmosphere in recent decades, due to our emissions of heat-trapping gases like carbon dioxide. The laws of physics demand that the atmosphere must respond. Atmospheric circulation patterns that control extreme weather events must change, and we should expect extreme storms to change in character, frequency, and intensity as a result--and not always in the ways our computer models may predict.

We have pushed our climate system to a fundamentally new, higher-energy state where more heat and moisture is available to power stronger storms, and we should be concerned about the possibility that Hurricane Sandy's freak size and power were partially due to human-caused climate change.


Here is the "red" increase in temperature in October as compared to the period 1981 to 2010 :

I'm so glad global warming is a hoax.

[SOURCE: Jeff Masters | Dr. Jeff Masters WunderBlog | 15 November 2012]


Thursday, 15 November 2012 at 22h 32m 13s

The Big Picture

You guys should go to the Big Picture Blog by Barry Ritholtz every single day.

I can't say enough about Barry. He's a center of the road, a little bit of common sense, with an acute insight into human behavior, and a deep reverence for the principles of this country, as well as a desire to further his knowledge historically, scientifically, and in general. All of which constitute aspects of what I respect in other people.

He is also an investment fund manager and is a dye-in-the-wool N'ywker who lives on Long Island. I've been reading Barry for probably 10 years now, and he is true blue. An honest guy, with a sense of humility and humor to boot. From what I understand, he's been on TeeVee for a while now, so you might actually recognize his face. Maybe not. I don't know because I don't watch TV.

But he also lets a lot of good stuff go through his blog. You will expand your knowledge if you check in everyday. Barry would probably feel gratified knowing that is the case. He really does strive for it to be a good source of information.

For instance, today, here is "The afternoon train reads"

  • Why Things Fail: From Tires to Helicopter Blades, Everything Breaks Eventually (Wired)
  • How China Became Capitalist (The American)
  • Changing the Conventional Wisdom on Wall Street (Economix)
  • Europe’s Recession (Dr.Ed’s Blog)
  • Katrina’s Effect on Jobless Claims vs. Sandy (Avondale Asset Management) see also Hurricane Sandy’s huge size: freak of nature or climate change? (Dr. Jeff Masters’ WunderBlog)
  • The Long Story of U.S. Debt, From 1790 to 2011, in 1 Little Chart (The Atlantic)
  • 10 things 401(k) plans won’t tell you (MarketWatch)
  • Is it game over for Grover Norquist? (Salon) see also Tax Reform Won’t Save the World (Bloomberg)
  • Human intelligence ‘peaked thousands of years ago and we’ve been on an intellectual and emotional decline ever since’ (Independent)
  • John Travolta, Olivia Newton-John Christmas Album Plunges Nation Into Double-Dip Recession (The Onion)




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