It's not
about being liberal or conservative anymore y'all. That is a hype offered by the fascist whores who want to confuse the people with lies while they turn this country into an aristocratic police state. Some people will say anything to attain power and money. There is no such thing as the Liberal Media, but the Corporate media is very real.
The San Francisco Department of Public Health now posts 105 cases of Coronavirus-19.
The a value is now 2.15328 and the b value is .148196. The rate of increase is approaching 15%.
The models current 14 and 21 day prediction of cases is as follows.
1,564 = 105×2.15328×(1+.148196)^14
4,117 = 105×2.15328×(1+.148196)^21
4,117 cases by early April.
Sunday, 22 March 2020 at 1h 58m 17s
Really now
Notice how Trump only mentions the one Democrat in the bunch, and then berates the black reporter who asks the obvious question, what about Senator Burr and Senator Loeffler and then the Donald gets all snooty saying "notice how you didn't mention Senator Feinstein" -- despite the obvious comeback that it was the Donald who didn't mention the Republican Senators himself before the black reporter asked the obvious question.
Republican North Carolina Sen. Richard Burr and Republican Georgia Sen. Kelly Loeffler sold a combined $2 million to $4 million in stock after attending private briefings about the coronavirus pandemic, even as they publicly amplified the Trump administration line that the virus did not pose a major threat to public health or the economy, disclosures analyzed by ProPublica and the Daily Beast show. The sales were completed before the disruption caused by widespread illness began to trigger major losses in securities markets this month.
[SOURCE:Ben Mathis-Lilley | Slate.com | 20 March 2020]
And there is a third Republican, Senator Jim Inhofe. So the Donald mentions 1 out of 4, the one who is not a Republican and then berates a black women when she mentions 2 others who were Republicans?
[SOURCE:Kusi News San Diego | McKinnon Broadcasting Co. | 20 March 2020]
Even Tucker Carlson thinks “There is no greater moral crime than betraying your country in a time of crisis.”
Tucker Carlson -- btw -- was born in San Francisco 5 days after yours truly was born in San Francisco.
Saturday, 21 March 2020 at 20h 45m 52s
Blinded by hubris and short-term public relations campaigns
“They are placed on the cots until every bed is full and yet others crowd in. The faces soon wear a bluish cast; a distressing cough brings up the blood stained sputum. In the morning the dead bodies are stacked about the morgue like cord wood.”
—Victor Vaughan, A Doctor’s Memories
An estimated 650,000 Americans lost their lives to the infamous and tragic 1918-1919 influenza epidemic, a small but significant fraction of the approximately 50 million deaths the disease caused worldwide. Countless more were left without parents, children, friends, and loved ones. Communities across the country did what they could to stem the rising tide of illness and death, closing their schools, churches, theaters, shops and saloons. Doctors, nurses, and volunteers gave their time – and, occasionally, their lives – to care for the ill.
These pages contain the stories of the places, the people, and the organizations that battled the American influenza epidemic of 1918-1919.
The San Francisco Department of Public Health updates every day at 9 am.
According to my updated Desmos exponential regression model, a = 2.51356 , b = .140833. The a value increased slightly, the b value is stabilizing. We might be crossing 100 cases by Sunday morning.
The rate of increase over the past 5 days is as follows: 11.6, 11.88, 13.9, 14.32, and 14.08.
The models current 14 and 21 day prediction of cases is as follows.
Click here for the Gallup polls methodology. They use carefully culled telephone polls with at least a sample size of 1,000.
Here is the BS ABC poll. And ..
This ABC News/Ipsos poll was conducted by Ipsos Public Affairs‘ KnowledgePanel® March 18-19, 2020, in English and Spanish, among a random national sample of 512 adults. Results have a margin of sampling error of 5.0 points, including the design effect.
Margin of error is 5% and the sample size is only 512 adults. The sample size is also too small, and likely to be non-representative including the design effect.
I have no idea why the establishment idiots do this promoting of biased polls based upon small sample size. There are so many confounding factors from opinion polls because it depends upon both the structure and sequence of questions. That ABC poll could have asked a series of 9 questions before the 10th question that set up a favorable view of Mr. Trump, which would inflate the in favor rating.
I discount any poll that assumes to represent the views of a population any larger than 1 million by using a sample size less than 1,000. And by the way, 327,000 people is 0.1% of the US population.
Did ABC categorize the type of respondents to the overall known ratios of the larger population (Gender, age bracket, ethnic group, income bracket, etc...) ? Is that effectively done by a sample of size 512 for a population of 327 million (327,000,000)? Did Ipsos cull out of an original sample of 1,526 a sample that results in what was promoted? We have no idea. So why did ABC news promote this BS poll that is directly opposite what a more reliable and large sample size poll put out by the Gallup institute?
Click here for my updated exponential regression model on desmos.
Looks like San Francisco will hit 100+ cases in 2 days (by Sunday).
The rate of growth that the model has been predicting over the last few days has gone up : 11.6, 11.88, 13.9, and is now 14.32. The a value is 2.3954. Here are the current numbers over the next 2 or 3 weeks using the current a & b values obtained from the regression model.
1,186 = 76×2.3954×(1+.143258)^14
3,028 = 76×2.3954×(1+.143258)^21
These numbers may seem mild, but keep in mind we are in the early part of the trajectory so we don't really have a good estimate of the rate that the infectious disease is spreading. If the rate of increase is actually just 20%, after 3 weeks we get ..
8375=76×2.3954×(1+.2)^21
.. if it is 25%
19737=76×2.3954×(1+.25)^21
Almost 20,000 in 3 weeks. Again, that's why this is serious.