about being liberal or conservative anymore y'all. That is a hype offered by the fascist whores who want to confuse the people with lies while they turn this country into an aristocratic police state. Some people will say anything to attain power and money. There is no such thing as the Liberal Media, but the Corporate media is very real.
We are doubling every 2 or 3 days now. Imagine what happens when all those kids and people from Florida and New Orleans bring this virus back all throughout the mid-Western and Southern states.
You have a state like Mississippi with a town like Jackson (the state capital) of 160,000 people. If 20% of 160,000 get the virus and 10% of those who get the virus need to be hospitalized (effectively .20 times .10 or .02 of the population) that is 3,200 people. And this is a low estimate.
How many hospital beds do you think exist in Jackson, Mississippi?
According to google, the number of beds at the University of Mississippi Medical Center (in Jackson) is 722. According to a 2015 Mississippi report, there are 11,060 beds across Mississippi.
There are about 3 million people in Mississippi. Applying the same percentages above (10% of 20%, or 2% of total) you get a lower end of 60,000 people across the state in need of being hospitalized.
60,000 is more than 5 times greater than 11,060 folks.
Oh, by the way, those morons who talk about flu deaths and automobile deaths ... last year in San Jose, California, there were 54 fatal deaths from car accidents and 16 flu-related deaths in 2019. At the city of San Jose's recent City Council meeting, Deputy City Manager Kip Harness showed a powerpoint slide indicating there will likely be more than 2,000 deaths and potentially as many as 16,000 deaths in a worse case scenario from the coronavirus pandemic.
According to projections from San Jose’s Office of Emergency Management, there are actually 9,000-19,000 cases of coronavirus in Santa Clara County today.
“So, that means we have a false sense of security in terms of thinking, ‘Oh, everyone who’s tested are the only ones who are infected,'” Harkness said. “There are a large number of us walking around who are infected.”
This is why social distancing is important right now.
[SOURCE:Maggie Angst | Mercury News | 26 March 2020]
Meanwhile Herr Trump is busy strutting around (when he isn't tweeting) acting like he can re-open the country again. As if the various states are locked down because of his executive prowess. Excuse me, the country is shut down because of the state and municipal officials across the country who made difficult decisions in the interest of public safety. Trump didn't do shit. It was not up to him, thank god. All he does is have grandious happy talk about how he is the best ever, lambaste journalists who ask legitimate questions, and pat himself on the back for actions he did not make or do.
And then when someone states the obvious, that the Emperor has no clothes, he screams "Fake News."
Thursday, 26 March 2020 at 10h 45m 34s
Incompetance and Inexperience
Because the way you get "big government" off the back of the people is by dismantling it and outsourcing ("privatization") contracts to political connected private firms.
Of the 75 senior positions at the Department of Homeland Security, 20 are either vacant or filled by acting officials, including Chad F. Wolf, the acting secretary who recently was unable to tell a Senate committee how many respirators and protective face masks were available in the United States.
The National Park Service, which like many federal agencies is full of vacancies in key posts, tried this week to fill the job of a director for the national capital region after hordes of visitors flocked to see the cherry blossoms near the National Mall, creating a potential public health hazard as the coronavirus continues to spread.
At the Department of Veterans Affairs, workers are scrambling to order medical supplies on Amazon after its leaders, lacking experience in disaster responses, failed to prepare for the onslaught of patients at its medical centers.
Empty slots and high turnover have left parts of the federal government unprepared and ill equipped for what may be the largest public health crisis in a century, said numerous former and current federal officials and disaster experts.
[SOURCE:Jennifer Steinhauer and Zolan Kanno-Youngs | New York Times | 26 March 2020]
So as long as you praise or flatter Herr Trump as the unheralded "kind of smart" genius then you won't get fired.
Thursday, 26 March 2020 at 9h 28m 55s
45 new cases in San Francisco
45 new COVID-19 cases in San Francisco. The a value is 1.23972. The b value is 0.172128. Already over 17% growth per day. Doubling every 4.36 days. If the rate of increase gets to 25.9% the doubling rate will happen every 3 days.
The models current 14 and 21 day prediction of cases is as follows.
2,554 = 223×1.23972×(1+0.172128)^14
7,764 = 223×1.23972×(1+0.172128)^21
Wednesday, 25 March 2020 at 22h 44m 8s
Bernie Kicking Ass On the Senate Floor
Wednesday, 25 March 2020 at 20h 36m 19s
This. Is. Serious.
Okay dumb fucks. 15% of the people who contract this virus need hospitalization, with 5 to 10 percent needing ventilators. This virus is twice as permissible as the flu, and at least 10 times more deadly. Plus, even the "mild" cases suck : there are plenty of anecdotal stories of bad flu for 10 days or more.
So if you get just 40% of the population infected, 40% of 350 million is about 140 million people, 15% of whom will be in the hospital. That's 21 million, with upwards of 14 million who will need ventilators and probably take a month to recover. Plus, it's not just people older than 40, 50, or 60.
And that's assuming only 40% contract the virus !!! Do you get it now?
Or listen to MLB Hall-of-Fame broadcaster, San Francisco legend, Jon Miller.
Giants broadcaster Jon Miller said he and his wife, Janine, got tested for COVID-19 and are quarantining themselves as they await the results. In a Wednesday morning radio interview on KNBR, Miller said his son and son’s fiancée tested positive for the coronavirus after returning from Europe, where they were engaged. “They’re young. They’re healthy. You feel bad for them,” Miller said. “They’re just so sick. Anybody who’s been exposed to it, and you read about it, it’s a horrible thing. It’s painful and just so relentless. It never goes away, it seems like.” Jon and Janine Miller were tested Friday.
Remember all those Americans packed into the airport terminals because of the mismanaged travel ban? All those Americans went to states and municipalities across the country, a subset of which carrying the virus with them. The shocking incompetence and narcissistic hubris that allowed this to happen is astonishing.
Wednesday, 25 March 2020 at 19h 3m 29s
Wednesday, 25 March 2020 at 13h 29m 56s
Amy Goodwin is a national treasure
Amy Goodwin does a daily news podcast. This is an 18 minute segment of today's show.
As the New York metro area has 60% of all the new coronavirus cases in the United States and is responsible for half the cases all over the country, New York Governor Andrew Cuomo said Tuesday the number of hospitalizations is expected to peak in the next 40 days as hospitals are already encountering shortages of equipment needed to protect medical workers and to keep patients alive when the city’s COVID-19 cases peak in the coming weeks. We’re joined by two people on the frontlines of the pandemic: Sean Petty, a registered nurse in the pediatric emergency room of a public hospital in the Bronx and member of the New York State Nurses Association board of directors, and Kelley Cabrera, an emergency room nurse at a public hospital in the Bronx.
Wednesday, 25 March 2020 at 13h 18m 58s
Coronavirus myths, busted by Wired Magazine
Does alcohol gel kill the coronavirus? Is Covid-19 any worse than seasonal flu? And should I be wearing a face mask? Here are all the answers you need to clear up your coronavirus confusion.
[SOURCE:Matt Reynolds | Wired Magazine | 18 March 2020
Wednesday, 25 March 2020 at 13h 11m 37s
SF cases of Coronavirus as of 9am today
a = 1.47087 and b = 0.165292. The rate of increase per day is still increasing. It was .148 on Sunday, .161 on Monday, .164 on Tuesday.
The models current 14 and 21 day prediction of cases is as follows.
2,228 = 178×1.47087×(1+0.165292)^14
6,503 = 178×1.47087×(1+0.165292)^21
Yikes. Already the model has 6,503 cases by mid April. The model had 4,117 on Sunday. That's a 57.95% increase over 3 days, a 16.46% increase per day. Here's the math:
1.5795 = (1+r)^3
Use the reciprocal exponent (1/3) then subtract 1.
Tuesday, 24 March 2020 at 11h 27m 42s
Robert Reich on Who Rigged the System
And How he thinks we should fix it. Because you dissect problems with the goal of proposing solutions, as opposed to framing reality and blaming others who don't meet the frame's criteria in order to maintain the benefits of the status quo.